HarryLime [any]@hexbear.net to chapotraphouse@hexbear.netEnglish · 1 year agomake some moneyhexbear.netimagemessage-square47fedilinkarrow-up111arrow-down10
arrow-up111arrow-down1imagemake some moneyhexbear.netHarryLime [any]@hexbear.net to chapotraphouse@hexbear.netEnglish · 1 year agomessage-square47fedilink
minus-squareTachanka [comrade/them]@hexbear.netlinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up2·1 year agoif my back of the napkin math is correct, you have less than a 1 in a 50 million chance of winning 32 hands of blackjack in a row, and that is assuming the very very optimistic odds of 50% per hand. But really it should be lower odds than that.
minus-squareTupamarosShakur [he/him]@hexbear.netlinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up2·1 year agoBut did you take into account that there is at least 24 hours between each win?
minus-squareHumanBehaviorByBjork [any, undecided]@hexbear.netlinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up1·1 year agookay, now do the odds of winning 1 hand 32 seperate times
minus-squareMoss [they/them]@hexbear.netlinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up1·1 year agoNo? I think you’re not very good at maths. The chances are 50%, because you’ll either win or lose
minus-squareCollatz_problem [comrade/them]@hexbear.netlinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up1·1 year agoIsn’t it roughly 1 in 4 billion chance? 1/2^32?
minus-squareTachanka [comrade/them]@hexbear.netlinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up1·1 year agoyou’re definitely closer to correct than I was. it’s whatever this number is as a percentage: 0.000000000232830643654 = (or 2.32830643654e-10)
if my back of the napkin math is correct, you have less than a 1 in a 50 million chance of winning 32 hands of blackjack in a row, and that is assuming the very very optimistic odds of 50% per hand. But really it should be lower odds than that.
But did you take into account that there is at least 24 hours between each win?
No. Silly me.
okay, now do the odds of winning 1 hand 32 seperate times
No? I think you’re not very good at maths. The chances are 50%, because you’ll either win or lose
Isn’t it roughly 1 in 4 billion chance? 1/2^32?
you’re definitely closer to correct than I was. it’s whatever this number is as a percentage: 0.000000000232830643654 = (or 2.32830643654e-10)