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Cake day: July 7th, 2023

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  • Safety is relative. A nuclear capacity doesn’t make them safe, especially in a world dominated by an unhinged US. But, it does make them vastly safer than not having it by raising the potential cost of any proactive strike against them. Direct military implications for the US are minimal. But that’s not the case for US clients and US interests in the region.

    What US policy has demonstrated is that US belligerence is a constant, regardless of whether Iran enters treaties or not, and regardless of whether Iran pursues nukes or not. Under those conditions, having nukes is pragmatic.







  • I would love to understand why anyone should expect the Democratic Party to improve if they aren’t called out or held accountable for either their long history of fucking this up, or their continued active fucking up as was displayed in full force last night.

    I agree that Democrats aren’t as bad as Republicans. But clinging to their slim moral superiority (and it is slim when you consider their actual record), and downplaying decades of fascist enablement as merely ‘ineffectiveness’ really demonstrates how not up-to-the-task some of the constituents are. It signals that nothing is going to change and we can expect fascism to march onward with Democrats slowly starting to pick up the mantle and join in. Don’t accuse me of hyperbole, I just listened to the Democratic response in which she waxed on nostalgic for Ronald Fucking Reagan.

    I suppose that I shouldn’t blame the Democratic electorate too much, as the party has never (in my lifetime) shown leadership on policy or cultivated expectations from its supporters beyond “Republicans bad so you have no choice”. That doesn’t work, as demonstrated by decades of eroding support, lack of legislation, lost elections, and an Overton window that only ever moves in one direction. Calling this out is not idiotic, it’s rational. From a purely self-interested point of view, it’s idiotic for the party to ignore and deride this sentiment.





  • This is the answer. trump and his colleagues have learned that there are no consequences for any misdeed, be that violating the law, ignoring the constitution, contradicting cultural norms, fleecing cash from their own supporters, or even directly and actively hurting their own political constituency. In that environment, they are free to act to enrich and empower themselves in the long run even if the short term consequences are dire for everyone around them. Billionaires will not feel the economic impact of his policies, even if their portfolios drop on paper for a while. While Elon has lost a huge percentage of his “wealth” in terms of the drop in his stock portfolio, he still has hundreds of billions of dollars on paper. While that’s happening he and his class can start buying the dip, seizing ever more assets from the struggling masses just trying to stay afloat. Then, when the macroeconomy stabilizes, they will be sitting on that much more of the pile. Rinse and repeat.