• 4 Posts
  • 17 Comments
Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: July 5th, 2023

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  • Every Republican presidential term in my lifetime has had a recession start. None of the Democratic ones have…

    Regan; one started each term. First Bush had one in his term. Clinton had none in his 2 terms. Second Bush had a HUGE one each time (dot com and great recession). Obama had none in his 2 terms. trump had one in his first term (triggered by covid & shutdowns; which his (in)actions intensified…). Biden didn’t have one (but; just barely… and only by the official definition [NBER]; he did have two negative real GDP quarters, so one could argue this point). Now we’re starting trump’s second term, so we’ll see (it’s pretty clear we’ll have a recession within 2 years).

    This isn’t really debatable unless you ignore the evidence. Stock market and real GDP growth are overall way higher under Democrat presidents. One link for reference (but many more are available): https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11127-021-00912-y





  • Yes, if this is an issue you have: you should start taking steps to address it!

    There are a number of online services to get you started, or see a therapist for personalized help from a professional. Mental health issues are real, but can be addressed with the right treatments. They won’t likely go away on their own, you’ll need to find the right strategies that work for you and then put in the effort & time to address it.


  • I’ve been looking into this (along with some other options like tankless) since my water heater is the next major appliances due for replacement.

    Depending on the efficiency of your HVAC and water heater; it might still be cheaper to heat twice (water heater makes water hot & inside air cold; then HVAC makes inside air hot & outside cold). If your efficiency at the HVAC stage is more than double (most modern heat pumps give 3x to 4x efficiency; that’s both in the water heater and HVAC). It gets a bit complicated; but the short answer is when it’s efficient enough the switch between modes for the hot water heater might not be necessary.

    Longer answer; is you need to know the difference in performance of the water heater. Ex. your heating costs go from $10/mo with heat pump to $20/mo with electric element (obviously if gas is the alternate heat source that adds another conversion…). If the marginal increase in HVAC cost is less than that $10/mo difference, there’s no need to switch the hot water heater between modes!

    Undecided (you tube channel) has a few videos covering the basics that are worth a watch if you’re starting to look into the topic, but since you’ve already been doing research, maybe it’s all material you know? Quick link: https://www.instagram.com/undecidedmf/p/C4IrcBOsT_p/

    Edit adding a better link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=abGiNL9IT54&vl=en














  • Yeah, a lot of the studies about remote work being less productive I find faulty. In my work/team we saw huge productivity gains. Now company-wide are asking for return to office and I’m telling my team not to comply and refer complaints to me (manager). We do go in once a week (in-person interactions have a benefit, but there’s diminishing returns to how often these in person benefits occur). Often this will be lined up with client meeting, in-person performance reviews, team lunch, etc.

    The international remote teams are already complaining. They can’t have the usual meetings because my team is commuting to the office on X day of week. Yeah, early morning meeting with India, EU, etc are a staple now (and part of our productivity boost, it’s better to meet when it’s not super late for them). When commute to office returned I (and others) booked commute as a time block so the international teams didn’t try to get us on calls in the car. If the company wants that time block back for meetings the involved members don’t come in.

    This will eventually come to a head, but I’m standing with my team members and improved metrics over blanket C-level demands. The business case is already written up for the first time they complain.