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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: July 26th, 2023

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  • I believe that to be true. The frontlines were not well established yet towards the end of 2022 so a push to take back Melitupol would have been possible if they had all the equipment that they used for their push in June 2023. But by then the Russians had dug in and mined the entire frontline and that push (predictably) failed and was abandoned as it would be too costly in lives to continue.

    That would have cut the land bridge, which in turn would have enabled the Ukrainians to make Crimea an untenable position (no land bridge, closer to the Kerch strait bridge).

    So yes, having the necessary equipment before the Russians were dug in would’ve made a massive difference imo. Not saying they would have retaken it, but their odds would have been a lot more favourable.









  • I don’t know about Hungary, but when it comes to Slovakia Fico is hardly representative of the wider society. There have been massive protests against him and his ilk ever since he somehow managed to squirm his way back into power. Slovak society is basically 50/50 split between the EU leaning urban centers and the Russia leaning villages (very crudely put, it’s obviously more complicated). But the main reason for the anti EU-stance of Fico is very basic: corruption. Thankfully there is little chance of Slovakia turning into an Orban style illiberal democracy because there is not enough support for it within society. Orban had an absolute majority in parliament for over a decade, Ficos Smer, even combined with its offshoot Hlas, doesn’t come close to that. They’re only in power because they allied themselves with the extreme right. Their powerbase is also slowly crumbling as their vote share amongst the younger generations (45 and younger) is minimal. Slovakia will be ok, but it still has to shed some demons from the past first, which is an ongoing process.