I 100% believe the Soviets would have done something to make the US fuck off by now, whether by supporting the Arab powers or similar intervention.

yeah im in my “missing the soviets” mood again how’d you know

Proof Dril is from the future

Tiktok has a distinct advantage over twitter for leftist agitation and it’s that as long as what you’re making is interesting you can say as many words as you want.

This makes it a space where education is possible at a similar level to reddit because there’s just significantly more possibility to dump words on people.

Also the comments sections are garbage and 99% of people don’t give a shit about them which is even better because they can’t really undermine anything you post.

“Nooo, you can’t say America deserved 9/11, 3000 innocent people died. You’re a traitor and a terrorist”

“Anyways, here’s why thousands of children deserve to be blown up”

Twitter losers are handling this OBL letter thing in the worst way possible.

“Oh if you agree with what he says about 9/11 then why don’t you go read this book called Mein Kampf?”

Zoomers are gonna become Nazis just because libs can’t stop themselves from making smug comments.

I have been on hexbear for one month. I really like what u all have build here, Im gonna stay.

Blinken feeling physical pain from a Biden speech

Free speech and independent journalism:

New: Reporters at the LA Times who signed an open letter criticizing Israel have been told that they cannot write about the Israel/Gaza conflict for three months

Making fun of the IDF necrophiliac squad is actually a new form of antisemitism called cum libel.

China is on track to blow right past their Paris Agreement targets. Peak oil, peak coal and peak carbon are all coming way ahead of schedule and China’s contracting construction industry is a huge boon to GHGe targets.

Some aggregated analysis on the current status of China’s energy transition. Recall what China’s updated Paris Agreement commitments are

Analysts today are expecting China to hit peak carbon by 2024, 6 years ahead of schedule. This is primarily driven by hitting peak gasoline in 2023 driven by plug-in EVs and hybrids making 38% of new car sales and growing fast, as well as peak coal in 2024 driven by massive adoption of renewable energy. New solar deployments in China in 2023 are expected to reach >150GW and wind projects are progressing at a similar rate. In fact, clean energy deployments are expected to exceed demand growth in 2023. By every metric, China is on track to blow this commitment out of the water.

Note that some research was already indicating that China could hit peak carbon around this time:

We develop an ensemble time-series model with machine learning approaches as the projection benchmark, and show that China’s carbon peak will be achieved by 2021–2026 with > 80% probability. Jiandong Chen, Chong Xu, Ming Gao & Ding Li. Carbon peak and its mitigation implications for China in the post-pandemic era. Scientific Reports 12, 3473 (2022).

The optimized results show that China’s energy-related carbon dioxide emissions could peak between 2022 and 2025, most likely in 2023, with CO2 emissions of 11.21–11.56 Gt. Shiwei Yu, Shuhong Zheng, Xia Li, Longxi Li. China can peak its energy-related carbon emissions before 2025: Evidence from industry restructuring. Energy Economics 73, 91-107 (2018).

Joint research by NRDC and Chinese Academy of Environmental Planning (CAEP) finds that China’s top coal-consuming sectors—power, steel, cement, and coal-chemicals—can collectively peak both coal consumption and carbon dioxide emissions in 2025. Jake Schmidt et al. China’s Top Industries Can Peak Collective Emissions in 2025. National Resources Defense Council (2022).

We can also choose to break this down by industry. Today, China’s emissions are dominated by electricity (42%), steelmaking and cement (15%+12%), and transportation (11%). Let’s consider each industry.

In the electricity sector, we have already discussed the rapid deployment of renewables and the possibility of peak coal by 2024. Looking at things more closely, we see how this does not contradict with China’s construction of more coal power plants with 392GW of coal power plant capacity in the pipeline. First, note that China has decreased coal power plant utilization from 70% to 53%. This means that each power plant is on for only 53% of the time. Moreover, recall that the past few years have seen rolling blackouts across the country due to droughts and insufficient peak electricity capacity. It’s difficult to argue that addressing rolling blackouts shouldn’t be a pressing issue, and it’s one that renewables are currently unsuited to address due to variability in production. It’s expected that China will use coal power plants for peaking demand and rely on renewable deployments increasingly for typical load. This is supported by recent national policy that pays for unused capacity for fossil fuel producers: the goal is to idle plants until they are needed to address peak demand.

With regards to steel and cement, we have to look at China’s construction industry which is the largest consumer of these products. Recall that in 2020, China took the decision to tighten financing rules for developers to curb reckless borrowing. This has driven a significant contraction in the construction industry and has led to stagnating demand for steel and cement. This is not a coincidence. Meanwhile, China has been increasing EAF deployment (which uses scrap instead of iron ore to produce crude steel) to further decarbonize the steel industry. The cement industry is further along and China’s mass adoption of modern cementmaking techniques have significantly reduced the carbon footprint of cement. In general, the real estate industry is a microcosm of Chinese economic policy: China drives massive investment into an industry using economic stimulus, cuts stimulus and pushes towards privatization with large government contracts, pushes the industry to overcapacity to leverage economies of scale (exploiting market processes to drive down costs), then ratchets down demand to replenishment levels. What this means is that costs get driven down extremely fast and efficiencies are extracted at scale, but long-term market stability is iffy. For example, we can compare costs between China and the US in construction (Tier 1 cities in China average 1000USD/sqm, US (apartments) average 4300USD/sqm), or in high-speed rail (21 million USD/km of HSR in China, compared to 126 million USD/km in the US). The same story is true in the solar, wind, and battery industry. China sacrificed short-term GDP growth from real estate in exchange for reducing emissions from a contracting construction sector… and it’s worked.

With regards to transportation, we can point to the rise of HSR (supplanting air travel), the rise of electric vehicles (supplanting ICE vehicles), the rise of subways (supplanting cars), and the rise of micromobility vehicles (also supplanting cars). Passenger volume on HSR replaces air travel demand, 38% of new cars are EVs, buses and taxis are increasingly electrified, massive expansion into urban rail transit, and the largest micromobility sector in the world. This increased electricity demand was expected to drive an increase in coal demand, but as we saw coal demand is expected to plateau as early as next year anyway.

China is also leading in reforestation, which acts as a huge carbon sink that is often misreported in official numbers. Frankly, more data is needed to understand the true impacts of reforestation in terms of carbon sequestration. I believe that reforestation efforts provide the key to carbon capture and storage mechanisms in the near future.

Presidential debate night yesterday in Argentina, and Milei got demolished by Massa. Lots of things, Milei looked like absolute shit, he tried to present himself as the dominant one very early in the debate but he couldn’t even scratch Massa’s rock solid face. Lots of discussion revolving around the economy, and I think my favorite moments were when Massa exposed Milei on foreign policy. First, Massa acknowledges the “multipolar world”, which is a big plus to me because it means he’s aware that the world is changing, while Milei stays in a static “US-ISRAEL THE FREE WORLD” position (Yes, he said “Israel” is the free world).

Then came Massa’s attack on Milei regarding his plan to cut relations with Brasil and China because they’re communists. He got absolutely demolished here: He forced Milei to walk back on his sayings, to provide “context” while cornered and to fail spectacularly while doing so. He says that “the state shouldn’t interfere” in the economy, yet he planned to cut relations with them (clear state interference). Then he claimed that it is the “private sector” who should decide to trade, or not, with them, and if the relations are cut, “privates will find a way to continue trading, either by triangulating or by finding alternatives on their own”. Well look at fucking that lmfao, turns out the “economy understander” doesn’t understand international commerce and relations. Cutting relations with either of these countries sends the argentinian economy into absolute chaos, Brasil or our largest trading partner and China is not far behind, what the fuck is he even thinking lmfao.

Later on the topic of Malvinas was brought upon the debate, and while both candidates “agrees” that Argentina should reclaim the islands, Massa attacked him because back in the day Milei said he admires none other than Margaret fucking Thatcher. Of all people, that fucking witch. She is THE enemy of modern Argentina, like everyone here (and in many other places, as well) fucking hates her. But he doesn’t, he likes her. So he had to provide a reason as of why he likes Thatcher, he said that he “understands the war, but there’s people who have done great things” (Thatcher? lmao), he mentioned he admires Reagan, Thatcher and Churchill. Just look at how the list gets progressively more and more ghoulish lol. Then for some reason he attacked Massa saying that “he must have felt very bad during 1989 when the wall was brought down”, huh? His mind is stuck in the Cold War and in the “End of History” of the 90s.

Finally, Massa delivered a massive hit to Milei, he touched something that Milei holds very dearly and almost made him cry. Turns out that back when Milei was almost graduated from whatever university he was on, he worked temporarily in the Central Bank as part of his final studies. He HATES the Central Bank though, his campaign continuously talks about “demolishing” it. So, apparently, he was kicked out of his post in the Central Bank because he showed psychological issues. After Massa delivered this blow, Milei just couldn’t gather enough strenght to counterattack, he could barely talk, his voice was very low and shaky. It was beautiful. He also accussed Massa of “trying to steal the election”, Trump-esque move. How splendid.

This debate should be the final nail in the coffin, his performance was dreadful and, I hope, it finally convinces the undecided to either not vote for Milei or vote for Massa, which sucks but at least he doesn’t have dementia. Elections are next sunday, if we can bury this motherfucker we can talk about trying to rebuild, step by step, in a new world.

🇱🇧 For the first time since the creation of “Israel”, the villages of South Lebanon on the border with Palestine are lit, while the settlements are all dark.

The settlers have all fled the North because of Hezbollah attacks.

nature is healing

seeing a lot of annoying liberals praising Mehdi Hasan recently for calling out the Israeli freaks he interviews. it drives me nuts because Hasan was one of the guys smearing Corbyn as an anti-semite. scumbags like him killed the only anti-zionist force in the UK and propagated the same bullshit Israeli propaganda that justifies their atrocities today.

Finkelstein doing a fake news -

NEWSFLASH: Entering Secret al-Shifa Passageway, IDF Discovers Kim Kardashian Blow-Up Doll in Hamas Jacuzzi

NEWS FLASH: IDF Discovers Saddam’s WMD Hidden in al-Shifa Basement. An IDF spokesman stated: “It’s clearly labeled in black-and-white: SADDAM’S WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION.”

he does not miss (do not ask him about trans people)

The story was reported by NY Post (reactionary) so I won’t directly link, but there was a walkout by bus drivers in Northern Va, refusing to transport demonstrators to the Ethnic Cleansing rally. 300 people left on the tarmac is kind of a drop in the bucket, but it’s nice to know that those drivers stuck to their principles